The a-share market this week there was a strong trend of elevating, the Shanghai composite was rose in five sessions, is rarely seen in recent years, reflecting long relatively strong fighting spirit. But spend no Bai rihong, after continuing aggressive rebounding, trend of the market on Friday was something of a chonggao blocked. Rebound is expected next week, the a-share market will enter a second cycle-the strong turbulence patterns.

　　Multiple positive stimulating strong rebound

　　For this week’s a-share market movements of the active, analysts believe is due mainly to two factors. First, the a-share market continues to adjust and accumulated more powerful rebound potential. Especially of Shanghai stock index at 2,319 points at one point in early breakdown and many other important technical support level, and had tested 2,300 points integer gateway support, means short of energy was fully vent. At the same time, technical rebound has entered in a time window, since the Shanghai composite index, for example from 6,124 points adjustments, is the 49th month. On the Shanghai stock index in a bear market, from 2,245 points adjusted to the 998 point also happens to be 49 months. Overlay so many information means that the a-share market rebounded into turning points.

　　Second, policy, and many other markets are also substantive changes have taken place this week. Regulation policy is not just a warm wind blowing out, and monetary tensions have also improved, more typical is the bond appears again robbed and empty. This fact explains the easing of funding, and illustrates the sentiment began to thaw. At the same time, trends in European and American markets have appeared to pick up, especially in Europe in the context of European debt crisis tended to quell soaring has been out of the bottom of the k-line form. Affected by this, long la Fleur au fusil, makes this week there have been five sessions of gains.

　　Next week, or into stronger shocks

　　However, after rising, the a-share market or into strong turbulence structure in the next week, is mainly based on two factors. Is the Friday market reflected the evolution of the hotspot market interest in property stocks, financial stocks, non-ferrous metals unit still is not. Currently active funds market still stylish themes such as popular culture and media unit, the environmental protection unit. In fact, non-ferrous metal unit and the financial and property stocks in this Friday’s position ought to be able to access mainstream hot, because not only international non-ferrous metals prices continued to soar, and the market value of Chinese real estate unit, the unit performs strongly in Chinese. Therefore, logically finance real estate, non-ferrous metals and other varieties in Friday should have continued to rise, becoming daily limit Board member of the family. But it is a pity, after the surge in early trading, financial and property stocks and non-ferrous metal stocks chonggao blocked, instead varieties such as culture media unit active again. This shows that market activity funds is not particularly optimistic about the future of the former, is still “love the new and loathe the old-be fickle in affection”. However, culture media, such as short-term gain larger and shock in the process, much weaker than earlier this week. Hundred holographic finance game show new money involved, and, therefore, the class a shares in the next week or are expected to move on to adjust status, which is not conducive to the market’s interpretation.

　　Second, European debt crisis subsided may not be conducive to the formation of the a-share market regulation policy shift expected. Logic clearer, that is the European debt crisis subsided means optimistic economy recovery in Europe and trends, which means China’s exports is expected to return, rapid economic growth will not be moved down. At the same time, European debt crisis subsided also means global commodity futures prices to fall, London brass, international oil prices surged this week is so. This is bound to make domestic PPI is high, which means that the CPI is difficult to quickly come down. So, probability of macro-policy shift is not large, monetary policy is unlikely to swing at least, this satisfying market expectations in the warmer policy faces numerous uncertainties.

　　If we take into account the short-term market rally gained profits as well as facing new technical resistance level and other factors, the Shanghai composite index may move on to adjust the stage set for next week. What’s more, the rebounding technology theory, after pulling at the bottom of the early, repeated shocks also needs to be in a band, joining in order to attract more capital. So, second cycle of the a-share market is expected to move on to rebound next week-the strong turbulence patterns.

　　Concerns industrial hot spots

　　Of course, does not mean a strong shock stock down long on passion, only index may rest. But stocks long on passion still stark, and to other mainline penetration is expected from the culture and media.

　　Therefore, in the operation, suggested that investors remained relatively positive action mainly concerns two types of stocks. Industry hot varieties, mainly refers to environmental protection and other individual stocks, weierli, sound environmental, energy, environment protection, the Kowloon electricity stocks track; the second is the species which has fill up required, such as rose significantly behind in international commodity futures prices of nonferrous metals unit, with Jiangxi copper, Yunnan copper industry, Western resources, Sheng and volume, stocks are still traceable. In addition, the new valuations such as electronics, Kan, Beijing kerui superior varieties can also be tracked. (Golden hundred advisory Qin Hong)

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